Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.780519 5.163835 5.585606 6.088594 6.678230 7.355536 8.204578
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.342997 4.850482 5.445024 6.207717 7.183671 8.427384 10.201081
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.017717 4.607859 5.335568 6.329831 7.709426 9.660791 12.877045
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.841971 4.521157 5.402397 6.688630 8.642921 11.784721 18.133413
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.497132 4.178550 5.090301 6.477705 8.717783 12.671539 22.161468
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.333745 4.058558 5.066355 6.685160 9.526092 15.294199 34.182708
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.168131 3.918139 4.995866 6.812618 10.263635 18.391711 59.705509
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.949766 3.683091 4.758397 6.627453 10.370465 20.204357 99.469714
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.743703 3.449533 4.499922 6.367809 10.264216 21.477099 182.874682
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.701078 3.452014 4.609899 6.788782 11.846926 30.992228 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.738024 3.577516 4.937005 7.715303 15.386565 69.602457 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.653907 3.506568 4.922712 7.948999 17.224879 138.155362 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.497996 3.325857 4.725032 7.811689 18.058526 322.561697 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.369145 3.179455 4.574326 7.758820 19.347657 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.257676 3.053261 4.447590 7.742421 20.985308 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.193111 3.000391 4.454345 8.081370 25.422889 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.061108 2.823101 4.199326 7.651972 24.486470 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.995379 2.755580 4.155836 7.814674 28.545528 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.927091 2.678577 4.084674 7.883644 32.596297 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.834422 2.552852 3.901056 7.566845 32.091820 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.743596 2.425877 3.705503 7.180455 30.298936 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.723924 2.424104 3.771955 7.649539 42.002941 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.739854 2.487603 3.988287 8.750195 95.235433 NaN NaN